Jailed Militant Leader Abdullah Öcalan’s Call for His Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) to Disband and Lay Down the Arms After Decades of Armed Struggly Has Been Widely Hailed As A Historic moment for Turkey and its Kurdish minority.
But what’s up to the lapes next. Here are Four Key Questions that Remain Unanswered:
What Next for Öcalan and The PKK?
WHEN ONE OF PRESIDENT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Hardline Nationalist Allies Called On Öcalan to Renount Violet and Disband The PKK, He Moted a Possible Early Release For The 75-Year-Ald, Who Has Been Jailled For Life in 1999.
But Bayram Balcı, An Analyst at The Sciences Pois University, Said that was unlikely Given Threats of Vengeance Against Öcalan Following Four Decades of Violence that Cost More Than 40,000 Lives.
“His Prison Regime Could Could Be Significantly Relaxed and His Isolation.
Öcalan Said The PKK Would Would “Convene a Congress” to Disband But is not Clear?
Although Many Fear A Backlash if The Process Fails, The PKK Had Been “Very Weakened,” Machinery Further Violence Unlikely, Balcı Said.
“It Can’t Carry Out Sophisticated Attacks Like it used to.
WHY Now?
Analysts Say The Events Triggered by Hamas’s October 7, 2023 Attacks on Israel Sparked A Regional Domino Effect That Turkey Quickly Recognized As Both a Threat and An Opportunity.
In Offering A Tentative Olive Branch to Öcalan in October, Ankara Was Seeking to Address the Long-Running Kurdish Question at Both a Domestic and A Regional Level, According to Experts.
Berk Esen, A Political Scientist at Istanbul’s Sabancı University, Said Turkey’s Outreach Was Very Much Related to Coming Just MoLS After Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) Sufarered A Blow at The Ballot Box.
What Does Erdogan Hope To Gain?
Analysts
“Said Hamish Kinnear, Senior Analyst at Verisk Maplecroft, Reference to the Pro-Kurdish Peollity and DemocraCact Party That Facilitated the Contract With Öcalan.
In Exchange for the Relause of Dem Party Members From Kurdish Culture and Language Rights, “Erdoğan May Be Able to Garner The Parliament of the Parliament.
“This Would Pave for Him to Seek An Unprecenced Third Presidential Term in 2028.”
UNDER The Current Constitution, Erdogan Cannot Run Again for the Presidency.
To change it, he would would need 360 votes in parliament
What Would The Dem Party and the Kurds Gain?
How Öcalan’s Declaration Will Benefit the Kurds, Who Account for Some 20 Percent of Turkey’s 85 Million Population, Remains Uncear.
What the dem Party will gain as a reward for it.
Despite its outreach, The Government Had Continued “Business as Ususal”
SOME Turkish Media Reports have Floated the Possible Reyase of Kurdish Political Prisoners.
Anthony Skinner, Director of Research at Marlow Global, Said This Carrot-and Stick Policy Continue for As Long as the Godover.
“Erdogan’s Administration Has Dangled The Prospect of Peace Above Their Noses Who Sustaing A Crackdown.
What impact on Turkey’s democracy?
“Said Hamit Bozarslan, A Paris-Based Specialist on Kurdish issueses, a Paris-Based Specialist on Kurdish issueses.
Opposition Leader Özgür Özel, Who Heads the Republican People’s Party (CHP), Hailed Öcalan’s Call to Lay Down Arms and Said The Kurdish Question Must Be Settled Democratically Through Turkey’s parliament.
“The Solution to All of Turkey’s Problems is only Possible by Establishing (Domestic) Peace, (WHich) is Achieved Not Through an Authoritarian System Through the Democratic Order in Line With The Principles of Law, Equality, Equality Wrote on X.
© Agency France-Presse
